A trade deal looks increasingly likely as senior US officials arrived in Beijing this week to continue trade talks with China.
But the uncertainty that has rattled global markets and caused the International Monetary Fund to downgrade its global growth forecasts is likely to continue for some time.
US President Donald Trump last year imposed import tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars of Chinese goods and threatened more, after which China retaliated with tariffs of its own on the US.
The sticking point in upcoming trade talks is likely to be on intellectual property theft and state support for high-tech companies.
A note from UBS analysts says whatever the outcome of a trade deal, the US will likely further restrict Chinese investment in the US, as well as China’s access to technology and high-tech products.Read More
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